Análisis España vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 2
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1993 |
IRL
1 - 3
ESP
39%
28%
33%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 1993 |
ALB
1 - 5
ESP
15%
28%
57%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1993 |
ESP
2 - 0
CHI
68%
21%
11%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 1993 |
POL
1 - 3
NED
31%
27%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1993 |
TUR
2 - 1
POL
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1993 |
POL
0 - 3
NOR
60%
23%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 1
POL
53%
25%
21%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 1993 |
NOR
1 - 0
POL
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |