Análisis España vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
92.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
4%
5-0
8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
19.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.6%
2-0
21%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.1%
+1
17.3%
7%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
0.1%
0
7%
0.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.12
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2009 |
NZL
0 - 5
ESP
1%
7%
92%
|
99 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 6
ESP
7%
20%
73%
|
99 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
59%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUR
73%
19%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 0
NZL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 0
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 0
POL
20%
25%
54%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
RSA
78%
16%
7%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |