Análisis España vs Suecia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 1978 |
AUT
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1978 |
URY
0 - 0
ESP
31%
30%
39%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 0
MEX
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
84%
13%
4%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1978 |
SWE
0 - 0
CSK
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 1
BRD
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 1
SWE
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |