Análisis Finlandia vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
46.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Finlandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
40%
20%
40%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1936 |
NOR
0 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 ago. 1936 |
EST
2 - 2
FIN
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 1937 |
SWE
0 - 4
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1937 |
NOR
0 - 6
ENG
42%
21%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 1937 |
SCO
3 - 1
ENG
42%
22%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 1936 |
ENG
6 - 2
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 1936 |
ENG
3 - 1
NIR
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |