Análisis Finlandia vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.3%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
36.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Finlandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 1939 |
FIN
4 - 2
EST
75%
14%
12%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1939 |
FIN
2 - 3
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1939 |
SWE
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
FIN
3 - 1
LTU
83%
10%
7%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 1939 |
NOR
0 - 4
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1939 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
55%
19%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1939 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
70%
15%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1938 |
ENG
4 - 0
NOR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |