Análisis Francia vs Argentina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
34.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.64
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 2
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1964 |
FRA
1 - 0
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1964 |
ARG
8 - 1
PRY
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1964 |
PRY
3 - 0
ARG
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARG
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1964 |
JAP
3 - 2
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1964 |
ARG
1 - 1
GHA
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |