Análisis Francia vs Croacia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
8.9%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.42
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 2
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1999 |
ARM
2 - 3
FRA
4%
18%
78%
|
98 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1999 |
UKR
0 - 0
FRA
8%
20%
72%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 1999 |
NIR
0 - 1
FRA
14%
26%
61%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1999 |
AND
0 - 1
FRA
4%
16%
80%
|
98 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
Partidos
Croacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 2
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
IRL
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MLT
96%
4%
1%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | +1 |
| 18 ago. 1999 |
YUG
0 - 0
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1999 |
KOR
1 - 1
CRO
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |