Análisis Francia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 1949 |
FRA
4 - 2
SUI
61%
18%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
30%
21%
50%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1949 |
SCO
2 - 0
FRA
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 1949 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1948 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1948 |
SUI
3 - 3
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |