Análisis Francia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 1961 |
BGR
1 - 0
FRA
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1961 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
43%
22%
35%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1961 |
FRA
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
4%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1961 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1961 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAR
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1961 |
MAR
0 - 1
ESP
54%
20%
26%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 may. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 1
WAL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1961 |
WAL
1 - 2
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |