Análisis Francia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1968 |
COL
2 - 1
FRA
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1968 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1968 |
FRA
3 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1968 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRD
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1968 |
YUG
5 - 1
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
38%
23%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1968 |
ENG
1 - 0
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1968 |
ESP
3 - 1
SWE
62%
20%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 1967 |
ESP
2 - 1
CSK
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |