Análisis Gales Sub18 vs Escocia Sub18
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.69
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
+61%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gales Sub18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 1983 |
WAL
0 - 1
SCO
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1983 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 1983 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1983 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1982 |
NED
1 - 1
WAL
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Escocia Sub18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 1983 |
SCO
3 - 1
NIR
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1983 |
WAL
0 - 1
SCO
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 1983 |
NIR
0 - 3
SCO
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 1983 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 1982 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -1 |