Análisis Gales vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
19%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25%
Empate
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 0
NIR
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1972 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1971 |
ROU
2 - 0
WAL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1971 |
CSK
1 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 1
YUG
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1972 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1972 |
ENG
0 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 may. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 may. 1972 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |