Análisis Gales vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
19.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.57
Goles esperados
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 1973 |
POL
3 - 0
WAL
79%
13%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 may. 1973 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 may. 1973 |
WAL
0 - 2
SCO
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1973 |
WAL
2 - 0
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
ENG
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1973 |
ENG
0 - 1
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 1973 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
78%
15%
8%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 1973 |
ENG
7 - 0
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
ENG
52%
24%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |