Análisis Granada vs Santa Lucía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2004 |
CUB
2 - 2
GRD
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
GRD
1 - 1
VCT
53%
21%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
GUY
1 - 3
GRD
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
GRD
5 - 0
GUY
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2004 |
GRD
0 - 1
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2004 |
LCA
9 - 0
VGB
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
VCT
1 - 1
LCA
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
LCA
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
58%
21%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |