Análisis Guinea vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
BFA
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 4
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 2
GUI
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 0
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
RSA
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 1
CIV
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 0
SLE
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 1
RSA
14%
24%
62%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | -1 |