Análisis Inglaterra vs Bélgica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.41
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
11%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 1954 |
HUN
7 - 1
ENG
71%
14%
14%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
ENG
46%
20%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 6
HUN
58%
18%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 1
NIR
89%
7%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Bélgica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
YUG
0 - 2
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 1954 |
BEL
0 - 0
POR
64%
16%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 1953 |
SUI
2 - 2
BEL
56%
19%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |