Análisis Inglaterra vs Croacia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVK
79%
16%
5%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCG
92%
7%
1%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2003 |
RSA
1 - 2
ENG
15%
24%
61%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
TUR
74%
18%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 2
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
97 | 14 | 83 | 0 |
Partidos
Croacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
21%
25%
54%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
AND
91%
8%
2%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
CRO
4 - 0
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2003 |
CRO
0 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |