Análisis Inglaterra vs Croacia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 1
ENG
21%
26%
53%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2007 |
RUS
2 - 1
ENG
26%
28%
47%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
RUS
71%
19%
10%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
ISR
76%
17%
8%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Croacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2007 |
MKD
2 - 0
CRO
14%
24%
62%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 0
SVK
68%
21%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 0
ISR
64%
22%
15%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2007 |
AND
0 - 6
CRO
6%
17%
76%
|
93 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 0
EST
81%
15%
5%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |