Análisis Inglaterra vs Escocia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.15
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 1948 |
ENG
6 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1948 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1948 |
NIR
2 - 6
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1948 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
40%
20%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1948 |
ITA
0 - 4
ENG
61%
18%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 1948 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1948 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1948 |
FRA
3 - 0
SCO
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1948 |
SUI
2 - 1
SCO
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1948 |
SCO
2 - 0
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |