Análisis Inglaterra vs Escocia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.22
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.7%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1956 |
ENG
5 - 2
DEN
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1956 |
ENG
3 - 0
YUG
76%
13%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1956 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 1956 |
NIR
1 - 1
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 may. 1956 |
GER
1 - 3
ENG
54%
20%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 1956 |
SCO
2 - 0
YUG
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1956 |
WAL
2 - 2
SCO
40%
23%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
AUT
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |