Análisis Inglaterra vs Francia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.37
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.6%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.5%
8.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1947 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1946 |
ENG
8 - 2
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 1946 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1946 |
IRL
0 - 1
ENG
33%
21%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1946 |
NIR
2 - 7
ENG
22%
20%
58%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 1947 |
FRA
1 - 0
POR
55%
20%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1946 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
32%
21%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1946 |
POR
2 - 1
FRA
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1946 |
FRA
3 - 0
CSK
39%
22%
39%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
46%
20%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |