Análisis Inglaterra vs Irlanda del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 1930 |
AUT
0 - 0
ENG
51%
21%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1930 |
GER
3 - 3
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1930 |
ENG
5 - 2
SCO
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1929 |
ENG
6 - 0
WAL
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 1929 |
NIR
0 - 3
ENG
29%
22%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Irlanda del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1930 |
SCO
3 - 1
NIR
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1930 |
NIR
7 - 0
WAL
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 1929 |
NIR
0 - 3
ENG
29%
22%
50%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1929 |
NIR
3 - 7
SCO
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 1929 |
WAL
2 - 2
NIR
55%
22%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |