Análisis Inglaterra vs Irlanda del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.14
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1934 |
ENG
3 - 2
ITA
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1934 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1934 |
CSK
2 - 1
ENG
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1934 |
HUN
2 - 1
ENG
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1934 |
ENG
3 - 0
SCO
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Irlanda del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1934 |
NIR
2 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
42%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1933 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1933 |
NIR
0 - 3
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1933 |
SCO
1 - 2
NIR
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 1932 |
WAL
4 - 1
NIR
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |