Análisis Inglaterra vs Japón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 0
ENG
32%
27%
40%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
ENG
43%
27%
31%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 3
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2003 |
TUR
0 - 0
ENG
22%
26%
53%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
LIE
95%
5%
1%
|
98 | 18 | 80 | 0 |
Partidos
Japón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 2004 |
ISL
2 - 3
JPN
25%
27%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
CZE
0 - 1
JPN
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
HUN
3 - 2
JPN
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2004 |
SGP
1 - 2
JPN
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
OMA
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |