Análisis Inglaterra vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1938 |
WAL
4 - 2
ENG
31%
21%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1938 |
FRA
2 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1938 |
SUI
2 - 1
ENG
27%
20%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 may. 1938 |
GER
3 - 6
ENG
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 1938 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 1938 |
POL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 3
NOR
69%
15%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1938 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1938 |
NOR
9 - 0
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |