Análisis Inglaterra vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2006 |
ENG
6 - 0
JAM
82%
14%
4%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2006 |
ENG
3 - 1
HUN
77%
16%
7%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
ENG
2 - 1
URU
70%
19%
11%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 2
ARG
46%
26%
28%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 1
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2006 |
GEO
0 - 1
PAR
22%
28%
51%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2006 |
DEN
1 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 2
PAR
50%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |