Análisis Inglaterra vs URSS
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1967 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
20%
22%
58%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1967 |
AUT
0 - 1
ENG
27%
23%
51%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 0
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 3
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1967 |
NED
3 - 1
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1967 |
GRC
0 - 1
SUN
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1967 |
AUT
1 - 0
SUN
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1967 |
BGR
1 - 2
SUN
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 2
SUI
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |