Análisis Irán vs Corea del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.62
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Irán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1990 |
IRN
3 - 0
MAS
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1990 |
IRN
0 - 1
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1990 |
IRN
0 - 2
POL
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1989 |
KWT
1 - 0
IRN
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 1989 |
UGA
2 - 2
IRN
22%
26%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Corea del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 1990 |
PRK
0 - 0
MAS
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 1990 |
JPN
0 - 1
PRK
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
PRK
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 1990 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 1989 |
JPN
0 - 1
PRK
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |