Análisis Irán vs Nueva Zelanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Irán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2003 |
JOR
3 - 2
IRN
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2003 |
IRN
4 - 1
JOR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2003 |
BLR
2 - 1
IRN
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2003 |
IRN
0 - 1
IRQ
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2003 |
CMR
2 - 1
IRN
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
NZL
96%
4%
0%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2003 |
NZL
0 - 3
JPN
8%
17%
75%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 jun. 2003 |
USA
2 - 1
NZL
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 1
NZL
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |