Análisis Islandia vs Dinamarca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Islandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 2
ISL
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 1954 |
ISL
1 - 0
NOR
50%
20%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 1953 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
61%
17%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 ago. 1953 |
DEN
4 - 0
ISL
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 jul. 1951 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
55%
18%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Dinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jun. 1955 |
DEN
2 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 may. 1955 |
DEN
0 - 6
HUN
25%
20%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1955 |
NED
1 - 1
DEN
48%
21%
30%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1954 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1954 |
SWE
5 - 2
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |