Análisis Italia vs Escocia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1988 |
ITA
1 - 0
NLD
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1988 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1988 |
ITA
0 - 3
DEU
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1988 |
SUN
3 - 2
ITA
58%
25%
17%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1988 |
SWE
1 - 2
ITA
44%
30%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Escocia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1988 |
SCT
1 - 1
YUG
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1988 |
NOR
1 - 2
SCT
30%
30%
39%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1988 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCT
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1988 |
SCT
0 - 0
COL
69%
21%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1988 |
ESP
0 - 0
SCT
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |