Análisis Italia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1930 |
HUN
0 - 5
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1930 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1930 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 1930 |
ITA
4 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1929 |
ITA
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 may. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 3
ENG
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1929 |
ESP
8 - 1
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 0
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |