Análisis Italia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1942 |
ITA
4 - 0
CRO
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1941 |
ITA
3 - 1
SLV
83%
10%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1941 |
ITA
6 - 2
CUW
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1941 |
ITA
7 - 0
PAN
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1941 |
ITA
7 - 2
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1942 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1942 |
ESP
4 - 0
FRA
73%
14%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 dic. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1941 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |