Análisis Japón vs Hong Kong
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Japón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 1958 |
JPN
0 - 1
PHL
79%
11%
10%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1956 |
AUS
2 - 0
JPN
78%
12%
10%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 may. 1954 |
IND
3 - 2
JPN
42%
21%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1954 |
IDN
5 - 3
JPN
43%
20%
37%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1951 |
IRN
3 - 2
JPN
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 1958 |
HKG
4 - 1
PHL
74%
13%
12%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1958 |
HKG
3 - 2
KOR
44%
20%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1957 |
KOR
1 - 3
HKG
64%
17%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 sep. 1957 |
MAS
3 - 3
HKG
55%
19%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 1957 |
IDN
1 - 2
HKG
52%
20%
29%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |