Análisis Japón vs Iraq
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Japón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2004 |
JPN
4 - 0
MAS
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
42%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 0
HKG
89%
8%
2%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
CMR
60%
23%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2003 |
QAT
0 - 0
IRQ
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2003 |
EGY
2 - 0
IRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2003 |
KEN
0 - 2
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2003 |
BHR
2 - 2
IRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2003 |
BHR
1 - 0
IRQ
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |