Análisis Japón vs Nueva Zelanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Japón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 1981 |
NPL
2 - 3
JPN
26%
22%
52%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1981 |
JPN
3 - 2
IND
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 ago. 1981 |
MAS
0 - 2
JPN
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 jun. 1981 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 jun. 1981 |
JPN
2 - 0
MAS
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 0
NZL
25%
22%
54%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1981 |
IDN
0 - 0
NZL
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1981 |
MAS
0 - 1
NZL
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 1981 |
NZL
0 - 0
IND
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1980 |
MAS
2 - 0
NZL
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |