Análisis Kenia vs Eritrea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.6
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Kenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jul. 1999 |
OMA
2 - 2
KEN
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1999 |
ETH
2 - 2
KEN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1998 |
UGA
3 - 3
KEN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 1997 |
KEN
0 - 0
ZAM
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 1997 |
TAN
0 - 1
KEN
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 1999 |
SEN
6 - 2
ERI
82%
15%
4%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
9%
21%
71%
|
10 | 73 | 63 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 0
CMR
8%
18%
73%
|
9 | 80 | 71 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 1998 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |