Análisis Kenia vs Sudán
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Kenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
KEN
22%
24%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
KEN
3 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2004 |
KEN
4 - 1
UGA
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 1
CMR
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
CIV
5 - 0
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 1
LBY
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 1
SDN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 3
EGY
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |