Análisis Kenia vs Sudán
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Kenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2004 |
ETH
5 - 4
KEN
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2004 |
SOM
0 - 1
KEN
12%
19%
69%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 2
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 2
BDI
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2004 |
SDN
4 - 0
SOM
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 2
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 1
CMR
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |