Análisis Letonia vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Letonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1938 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
43%
22%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1938 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
33%
22%
44%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1938 |
EST
0 - 2
LVA
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 jun. 1938 |
SWE
3 - 3
LVA
84%
9%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1938 |
LVA
2 - 0
LTU
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 jun. 1938 |
BRA
6 - 5
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 may. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |