Análisis Luxemburgo vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
49%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luxemburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 1969 |
BGR
2 - 1
LUX
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1969 |
POL
8 - 1
LUX
77%
13%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 1969 |
LUX
2 - 1
MEX
27%
21%
53%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 1969 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1968 |
DEN
5 - 1
LUX
76%
13%
11%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 1969 |
POL
2 - 1
NED
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1969 |
POL
6 - 1
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 jun. 1969 |
BGR
4 - 1
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 may. 1969 |
NED
1 - 0
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1969 |
TUR
1 - 3
POL
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |