Análisis Marruecos vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marruecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1980 |
CIV
4 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1979 |
LVA
0 - 0
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
CGO
73%
16%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1979 |
NED
1 - 1
POL
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1979 |
POL
1 - 1
DDR
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1979 |
SUI
0 - 2
POL
23%
26%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 1979 |
POL
3 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |