Análisis Marruecos vs Túnez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marruecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 1974 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
46%
23%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1974 |
SYR
1 - 1
MAR
38%
23%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1974 |
SDN
0 - 2
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1974 |
LBN
0 - 3
MAR
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 1974 |
TUN
1 - 3
MAR
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Túnez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ene. 1975 |
IRQ
0 - 0
TUN
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1974 |
SDN
1 - 3
TUN
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1974 |
SYR
3 - 1
TUN
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 1974 |
JOR
0 - 5
TUN
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 1974 |
TUN
1 - 3
MAR
54%
22%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |