Campeonato Africano de Naciones Segunda Ronda. Final

Global 3-3

Análisis Mozambique vs Madagascar

Mozambique Madagascar
56 ELO 60
-15.7% Tilt -4.5%
2334º Ranking ELO general 1710º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
27.5%
Mozambique
26.1%
Empate
46.4%
Madagascar

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
27.5%
Probabilidad gana
Mozambique
1.07
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.4%
Probabilidad gana
Madagascar
1.47
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Mozambique
Madagascar
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 jul. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
50%
24%
25%
56 60 4 0
30 may. 2019
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 1
Malawi
MWI
38%
29%
34%
55 58 3 +1
28 may. 2019
SYC
Seychelles
0 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
55 36 19 0
26 may. 2019
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 2
Namibia
NAM
27%
27%
46%
56 64 8 -1
23 mar. 2019
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
2 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
23%
21%
56%
56 49 7 0

Partidos

Madagascar
Madagascar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 jul. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
50%
24%
25%
60 56 4 0
11 jul. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
0 - 3
Túnez
TUN
17%
24%
59%
61 81 20 -1
07 jul. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
2 - 2
RD Congo
COD
23%
24%
53%
61 73 12 0
30 jun. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
2 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
14%
24%
62%
58 85 27 +3
27 jun. 2019
MDG
Madagascar
1 - 0
Burundi
BDI
45%
25%
30%
57 57 0 +1
X