Clasificación Mundial África Grupo B Jor. 5

Análisis Nigeria vs Mozambique

Nigeria Mozambique
89 ELO 68
-5.2% Tilt -20.1%
376º Ranking ELO general 2586º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
73.5%
Nigeria
17.8%
Empate
8.7%
Mozambique

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Nigeria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Mozambique
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Nigeria
-7%
+4%
Mozambique

Progresión del ELO

Nigeria
Mozambique
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Nigeria
Nigeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 sep. 2009
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 2
Túnez
TUN
57%
25%
18%
89 87 2 0
20 jun. 2009
TUN
Túnez
0 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
42%
29%
29%
89 87 2 0
07 jun. 2009
NGA
Nigeria
3 - 0
Kenia
KEN
74%
18%
8%
89 69 20 0
02 jun. 2009
FRA
Francia
0 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
74%
19%
7%
89 98 9 0
29 may. 2009
IRL
Irlanda
1 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
60%
25%
15%
89 93 4 0

Partidos

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 sep. 2009
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Kenia
KEN
47%
26%
27%
68 69 1 0
12 ago. 2009
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Esuatini
SWZ
67%
20%
13%
67 51 16 +1
20 jun. 2009
KEN
Kenia
2 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
44%
26%
31%
68 69 1 -1
06 jun. 2009
TUN
Túnez
2 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
68 87 19 0
29 mar. 2009
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
23%
29%
49%
68 89 21 0