Análisis Nigeria vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 0
ANG
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2024 |
NGA
2 - 0
CMR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 1
NGA
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
EQG
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2024 |
CPV
0 - 0
RSA
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
RSA
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
TUN
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2024 |
RSA
4 - 0
NAM
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
RSA
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |