Análisis Nigeria vs Túnez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 1978 |
UGA
2 - 1
NGA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1978 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1978 |
NGA
1 - 1
GHA
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1978 |
NGA
4 - 2
BFA
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1978 |
GAB
0 - 1
NGA
34%
23%
43%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
Partidos
Túnez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1978 |
CGO
0 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1978 |
TUN
2 - 1
LBY
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |