Análisis Noruega vs Finlandia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.3
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.1%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jun. 1946 |
NOR
2 - 1
DEN
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1945 |
SWE
10 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 1945 |
NOR
1 - 5
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 1945 |
DEN
4 - 2
NOR
67%
16%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1939 |
DEN
4 - 1
NOR
67%
16%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Finlandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 1945 |
FIN
1 - 6
SWE
30%
21%
50%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1945 |
SWE
7 - 2
FIN
89%
7%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1943 |
FIN
1 - 1
SWE
33%
21%
46%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1943 |
FIN
0 - 3
HUN
30%
20%
49%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 1941 |
FIN
0 - 6
GER
32%
21%
47%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |