Análisis Noruega vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.6
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.9%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1946 |
DEN
7 - 1
NOR
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 1946 |
NOR
0 - 3
SWE
43%
21%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 1946 |
LUX
3 - 2
NOR
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 jul. 1946 |
DEN
2 - 0
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 jun. 1946 |
NOR
12 - 0
FIN
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 1939 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
40%
21%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1939 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1939 |
POL
3 - 3
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1939 |
FRA
4 - 0
POL
51%
20%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 nov. 1938 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |