Análisis Noruega vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1955 |
GER
2 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1955 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
86%
9%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 1955 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
54%
19%
27%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 1955 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 may. 1955 |
ROU
2 - 2
POL
69%
17%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
POL
18%
20%
62%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 1954 |
POL
2 - 2
BGR
62%
17%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |